PSE Market Outlook (25 Jun 2024) by 2TradeAsia
Participants are likely to monitor continuity of yesterday’s recovery, especially for select sectors that led the rise (I.e., property & services).
Participants are likely to monitor continuity of yesterday’s recovery, especially for select sectors that led the rise (I.e., property & services).
Caution might be the main theme this week with the quarter-end portfolio closing.
Sentiment might take its cue from DJIA’s ascent, on prospects for the Fed’s policy easing & reports of accommodative policies from China.
Participants might bid for time to check on turnover improvement, supporting local benchmark’s sideways movement.
Another range-bound session & selective trade might persist, unless significant build-up in turnover occurs for local equities.
Selective trades may prevail, as investors check for possible improvement in the previous sessions’ frail turnover.
Sessions might mimic yesterday’s movement, ahead of the Independence Day break tomorrow.
Participants’ attention may be drawn to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on 11-12 June, within a shortened 4-day trading week.
Participants would monitor continuity of the latest ascent, while heeding for those that might opt to lock-in gains.
Local gauges might move above the 6,550 mark, with 5-month inflation averaging 3.52% (vs. prior year’s 7.52%).
Sentiment might take its cue from Wall Street’s ascent, as hopes for the Fed rate cut was supported by the latest jobs data.
Similar movements might be seen Tuesday, with sessions moving within range, capped by final-minute boost.
Continuity of Friday’s MOC-boost is seen to continue, with the backdrop of lessrestrictive monetary policies later this year.
Expect volatility with the month-end portfolio closing, parallel to US markets’ overnight decline with their latest 1Q GDP.
Having pierced through the 6,500 support zone, participants might bid for more time until supply pressure dries out.
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