PSE Market Outlook (20 Aug 2024) by 2TradeAsia
Having trounced past the 6,800 barrier, participantsā attention may be pegged on the PSEiās ability to march towards the 7,000 zone.
Having trounced past the 6,800 barrier, participantsā attention may be pegged on the PSEiās ability to march towards the 7,000 zone.
Investors might take heart on the local central bankās 25bps rate cut move yesterday, which would aid capex rollout initiatives among listed firms.
Attention is on BSPās policy meeting, with emphasis on its outlook on inflation & interest rates.
Sentiment might take its cue from Wall Streetās overnight ascent, as softer PPI gauge for July has strengthened expectations for a Fed rate cut.
Movements would likely be range-bound for now, as most fund managers heed for latest economic data in the US that could influence the Fedās sequel policy actions.
Higher sessions are seen, as expectations build for a rate cut consideration on or before BSPās policy meeting on 15 August.
Choppy sessions are seen given the month-end portfolio closing, while attention is set whether local gauges could keep its poise above the 6,600 marks.
Participants might focus on the US economyās 2Q GDP, which came in at a faster clip vs. 1Q (+2.8% vs +1.4%), as well as views on the timing of the Fedās policy easing cycle.
Eyes are set whether the PSEi would continue its recent strength, or sellers might seize on this move to pocket gains.
Sentiment might take its cue from Wall Streetās ascent, as expectations build for consideration of less-restrictive monetary policies by the Fed for the remainder this year.
Participants will monitor local gaugesā staying power above 6,500, as some players seize on this strength to cash-out.
The market might take its cue from Wall Streetās incline, with the latest jobs data supporting expectations for monetary easing from the Fed.
Market participants would heed to latest inflation for June (vs. Mayās 3.9%), with BSPās outlook pegged at 3.7% to 4.5%.
Attention is set whether local gauges would scale back to 6,500, while waiting for Juneās inflation data this Friday.
The market might take its cue from Wall Streetās ascent, with very few macro leads available locally.
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